From
Dawn to dusk
Lifestyle
figures out how much $100,000 (being set up in a trust fund for Baby Dawn
- Asheena Dawn Myrie) could be worth in 18 years when shes of college
age.
Claude Mills
Staff Reporter
Last week Tuesday,
The Gleaners initiation of a fund to help with the education of
a baby girl, Asheena Dawn Myrie - her middle name symbolic of the New
Dawn Initiative for a better Jamaica - took the nation by surprise.
The gesture has generated discussion and contributions have already been
made towards the $100,000 target which will be placed in a trust fund
to help defray the cost of Dawns college education. At
Lifestyle we got to wondering how $100,000 could be invested today to
ensure maximum returns in 18 years.In Jamaica there are no college savings
plans per se but there are instruments that you can put money in
to save for a childs education, said one investment analyst.
There are fixed income (Government securities), equity (stocks)
and the unit trust which is a pool fund managed by someone with expertise
but which members of the public can buy units of. ...if
someone gave me $100,000 to invest for their childs education 18
years in the future, I would spread the money 60-40, putting the greater
portion in equity, and the rest in fixed income, he added.
Nothing is guaranteed,
however, noted another investment analyst. You cant make a
prediction many years ahead, especially with equities. A company that
exists now might not exist then, and the market moves up and down over
time. Further, you can never tell what inflation is going to be, even
the Government is unwilling to predict inflation for next year because
it is dependent of so many factors out of their control, for instance
the price of oil.
According to a number
of investment analysts, a $100,000 investment in Government securities
today would realise a return of $768,996.58 in 18 years at a rate of 12
per cent. A $100,000 investment in equity would realise a return of 1,446,251.45
in 18 years at a rate of 16 per cent.
The current cost of education in Jamaica and the US
Earlier this year
it was announced that tuition fees at the University of the West Indies
(UWI) had jumped by as much as 25 per cent in some cases. In the faculty
of Arts and Education, tuition leaped from $83,708 to $101, 527 annually
while in Social Sciences the increase was from $67,185 to $101,527. In
the medical-clinical faculty, costs soared from $253,401 to $309,310.
According to the US Department of Education, National Center for Education
Statistics, tuition and fees alone for public four-year institutions amount
to US$3,489. However, the average cost, when room and board, books and
supplies, transportation and personal expenses are added, is estimated
at US$11,608.
Tuition and fees for private four-year institutions amount to about US$15,146.
The total cost, room and board, books, supplies, transportation, and personal
expenses are added, is an estimated US$24,004.
These 2000-01 estimated
figures assume a 4 per cent annual increase over previous years.
Tips on how to save for your childs college fund
1. Take advantage of tax benefits.
The tax benefits offered by college savings vehicles can greatly affect
how much you accumulate for your childs college education.
By choosing a plan that allows you to defer taxes on your investment gains
until you withdraw the money, your assets have a chance to grow faster.
This tax-deferred growth can make quite a difference in the value of your
account.
2. Think
carefully before saving in a childs name.
When you invest in a childs name in a custodial (UGMA/UTMA - see
information on investment opportunities available in other countries)
account, you benefit from tax benefits and account flexibility. Keep in
mind, however, that a contribution to a custodial account is an irrevocable
gift. Assets in the custodial account must be used for the childs
benefit. The child has the legal right to assume control over the account
when he or she reaches the age that the custodianship terminates - usually
18 or 21, depending on state UGMA/UTMA law and/or the terms of the custodianship.
3. If
you like to direct your investments, remember it may take time to match
the efforts of a professional manager.
Managing your own college savings account allows you to be more aggressive
with your money, but you also run the risk of being less diversified or
leaving yourself overexposed. You may even be too conservative to meet
your savings goal.
4. Understand
the financial aid implications.
Know how accessible your assets are.
Investment opportunities available in other countries
Major commercial brokerages
and banks are spending millions of dollars to market dozens of new college
savings tools during one of the longest-running bull (meaning very strong)
markets in American history.
College Illinois! Prepaid Tuition
Program is a college funding tool that allows you to pay for your childs
tuition several years in advance. If you select an Illinois community
college or public university, College Illinois! will pay 100 per cent
of tuition and mandatory fees billed by that institution (for as many
semesters as you have purchased coverage at the community college-level
or public university-level), regardless of how high tuition and fees might
have climbed between your date of purchase and your benefits-claim date.
The Education
Savings Account offers the potential for tax-free investment growth when
you use the account to pay for a childs qualified higher education
expenses.
Uniform Gift/Transfer to Minor Accounts
Uniform Gift to Minors Accounts (UGMAs) and Uniform Transfer to Minors
Accounts (UTMAs) allow you to invest under a childs name with an
adult as custodian.
UGMAs and UTMAs are vehicles that allow minors to enjoy the benefits of
owning securities within the limits of the law. There may also be tax
savings on the earnings, as children usually have lower income tax rates
than adults and the first $700 of earnings each year are not taxed.
College Savings Bank offers the CollegeSure CD, a certificate of deposit
indexed to college costs and guaranteed to meet future tuition, fees,
room and board. Its backed by the full faith and credit of the United
States up to $100,000 per depositor. There are also tax-advantaged Section
529 qualified tuition programs and IRAs for college.
What a $100,000
nest egg could yield in 18 years if invested today
Projections about
returns on Government Securities and Equities over an 18-year period can
be inaccurate because significant changes that could occur in the economy.
However:
Assume a conservative rate of return of 16 per cent for equities
(stocks) and 12 per cent for fixed income.
The principal
of $100,000 invested for 18 years at 16 per cent per annum would yield
$1,446,251.45.
Or $768,996.58
if invested at 12 per cent per annum for 18 years.
Keep in mind
also that companies listed on the stock exchange may be wound up or merged
during this 18-year period, causing returns to be higher or lower than
predicted.
|
Fixed
Income |
Equities |
| Principal |
$100,000 |
$100,000 |
| YEAR 5 |
$176,234.17 |
$210,034.17 |
| YEAR 10 |
$310,584.82 |
$441,143.51 |
| YEAR 15
|
$547,356.58 |
$926,552,09 |
| YEAR 18 |
$768,996.58 |
$1,446,251.45 |
Inflation rates
The rate of inflation
will affect the returns you get.
Below is the inflation rates for the last 11 years in Jamaica.
| Year
|
Inflation
(%) |
Com.
Bank |
6
month Saving Rate (%) |
T-bill
(%) |
| 1990 |
29.8 |
18.0 |
18.0 |
30.0 |
| 1991 |
80.2
|
15.0 |
21.0 |
17.9
|
| 1992 |
40.2 |
15.0 |
28.8 |
|
| 1993 |
30.1 |
15.0 |
25.0 |
23.6 |
| 1994 |
26.8 |
15.0 |
25.0 |
49.5 |
| 1995 |
25.6 |
15.9 |
24.0 |
42.5 |
| 1996 |
15.8 |
15.0 |
25.8 |
28.8 |
| 1997 |
9.2 |
10.3 |
15.0 |
28.1 |
| 1998 |
7.9 |
7.0 |
14.0 |
23.5 |
| 1999 |
6.8 |
10.0 |
13.5 |
22.0 |
| 2000 |
6.1 |
8.0 |
12.1 |
20.2 |
|